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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Oct 08, 2018 12:33 am 
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Is Brazil candidate Jair Bolsonaro the Trump of the Tropics?

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Jair Bolsonaro has divided Brazilians

Few Brazilians feel indifferent towards Jair Bolsonaro, the far-right candidate who has made it into the run-off of the presidential election.

Ever since he announced he was running for president, there have been rallies for and against the controversial former army captain. These divisions look set to deepen now that he will face his Workers' Party rival, Fernando Haddad, in the second round on 28 October.

Jair Bolsonaro likes to court controversy. The 63-year-old has made provocative statements on issues ranging from abortion, race, migration and homosexuality to gun laws.

He has portrayed himself as the defender of a Brazil of decades past, suggesting that the country should return to the hardline law-and-order tactics of the 1964-1985 military dictatorship.

'Wannabe Hitler'

Some media have started calling him the "Trump of the Tropics" comparing his populist style and social media presence to that of the US leader.

His presidential rival Ciro Gomes even went as far as dubbing Mr Bolsonaro a "little tropical wannabe Hitler".

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-45746013

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Oct 08, 2018 2:12 am 
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Location: >>==> Wellington New Zealand
^^^^^ Oh Boy! ^^^^^

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:09 am 
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Any positions for a geneticist in NZ?

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:31 pm 
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...I mean, not even sheep genetics?

Understand the causes and implications:

Brazilian Elections: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FsZ3p9gOkpY

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 Post subject: Re: We Found Bigfoot!
PostPosted: Thu Oct 18, 2018 6:43 am 
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Gray_Ghost wrote:
Mr. Nice Guy wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iU_8wSvSW4

1 minute, 22 seconds

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Inasmuch as the midterms are in full swing, the campaign commercials are coming fast and furious, with some of them getting a particularly large amount of attention. In the category of "really clever ads," for example, is a spot for Dean Phillips, who is running in MN-03 against Rep. Erik Paulsen (R). The basic notion is that Bigfoot is looking for the only guy harder to find than he is—Paulsen, who never seems to show up for work, is never available for constituent services, etc. He does find the Congressman, but you'll have to watch the ad to find out where.
excellent
BUMP 8)

Today's stats: (if the election were held today)

Senate
Dem - 46 seats (-1 since Sept 17)
GOP - 54 seats (+3 since Sept 17)
Ties - 0 seats (-2 since Sept 17)

Strong Dem (42) (+2 since Sept 17)
Likely Dem (2) (-2 since Sept 17)
Barely Dem (2) (-1 since Sept 17)
Exactly tied (0) (-2 since Sept 17)
Barely GOP (3) (-1 since Sept 17)
Likely GOP (2) (+2 since Sept 17)
Strong GOP (49) (+2 since Sept 17)

Dem pickups vs. 2012 - None
GOP pickups vs. 2012 - Florida, Missouri, North Dakota

Image

The saturated colors mean the candidate is leading by at least 10% and is virtually certain of carrying the state.
The lighter colors indicate a lead of 5-9%, which is outside the margin of error, but in politics a week is a long time.
The states with a white center are statistical ties.
States that are entirely white are exact ties.
States that are gray have no seats up for election.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Oct 18, 2018 5:27 pm 
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^ Thanks. Yet another opportunity for me to point out the worthlessness of these polls. I appreciate it.

Your map from the day before the 2016 presidential election showed Hillary Clinton winning.

It's not surprising that you're so much like your favorite celebrity: Trump.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Wed Oct 24, 2018 5:08 pm 
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I do more than vote, so starting tomorrow, I'll be working for the next several days as a chief judge at Maryland's busiest early voting center. See ya later . . . 8)

Nate Beeler

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2018 11:57 am 
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Drew Sheneman
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Oct 29, 2018 12:17 pm 
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Jair Bolsonaro: Far-right candidate wins Brazil poll

Far-right politician Jair Bolsonaro has won a sweeping victory in Brazil's presidential election.


The former army captain won 55.2% of the vote against 44.8% for Fernando Haddad of the left-wing Workers' Party.

Mr Bolsonaro's pledge to fight crime and corruption following a string of scandals have won him mass support.

However critics are worried by his praise of Brazil's former dictatorship, and by his comments on race, women and homosexuality.

In one infamous incident in 2015 he told a fellow lawmaker she was too ugly to rape.

Mr Bolsonaro's controversial comments, his pro-gun stance and his populist approach to politics have led to some media dubbing him "Trump of the Tropics".

President Trump himself took to Twitter on Monday to praise the Brazilian president-elect.

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For his supporters, Mr Bolsonaro is a politician who they say will bring much needed change to the country - a swing to the right after four elections won by the left.

For the past four years, Brazil has been consumed by a criminal investigation - known as Operation Car Wash - that has uncovered massive corruption.

Dozens of business and political leaders have been jailed. Among them was former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who was barred from standing in the election.

How did the result break down?

Who is Bolsonaro and what is he likely to do in office?

The 63-year-old leads the Social Liberal Party (PSL), an anti-establishment group that combines social conservatism and pro-market policies.

Mr Bolsonaro is a deeply polarising figure who has had a divisive effect on Brazilians with both supporters and opponents taking to the streets to make their voices heard.

He has in the past defended the killing of opponents to the country's former military regime and said he is "in favour of dictatorship".

But after the results came in, he told supporters he would be a "defender of democracy" and uphold the constitution.

One of his flagship policies is to restore security by relaxing gun laws and suggested that "every honest citizens" should be able to own a gun.

He has promised to reduce state intervention in the economy and indicated that Brazil could pull out of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change.

He takes over on 1 January 2019.

Is there a chance Mr Bolsonaro could soften his stance, now he's won power? Few experts believe it. You only need to look to another firebrand in the continent for guidance.

"The things that Donald Trump outlined and the signals that he gave during the campaign he carried through with," says Kyle Pope of the Columbia Journalism Review, who has studied parallels between Brazil's new president and the leader of the US.

Many say a comparison with Mr Trump is inaccurate. Instead, they say Mr Bolsonaro is more akin to Rodrigo Duterte of the Philippines.

Whatever the comparison, what is clear is that country's sharp swing to the right will resonate beyond Brazil as another populist takes power.

And the opposition will redouble efforts not to take away the gains that country's made since it returned to democracy 30 years ago.

The future looks messy for Brazil.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-46013408

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:46 am 
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There Are Obstacles to Voting in Many States

Many states are making it hard to vote for various reasons. McClatchy has a rundown of the issues and dirty tricks. Here is a summary.

Florida: The state bans early voting on college campuses, a rule that is currently the subject of a lawsuit. Having felons get their right to vote back after serving their time is a hot issue, with the voters getting to have a say via Amendment 4.

Georgia: Secretary of State Brian Kemp (R), who is running for governor, has refused to recuse himself from managing the election. However, he is actively removing voters from the rolls, especially in Democratic areas (more below). He is also rejecting absentee ballots due to a perceived mismatch of signatures, without giving voters a chance to explain.

Idaho: Someone on the "dark web" is selling information about Idaho voters. That is illegal. Also, Idaho cross checks voter information with other state databases and removes voters when it finds inconsistencies. However, even a small state like Idaho has many voters who share a name and birth date with a different voter, leading to voters being purged by accident.

Kansas: Secretary of State Kris Kobach is running for governor while supervising his own election. Like Kemp, he refuses to recuse himself from his management of the election. He also arranged for Dodge City to have only a single polling place and it is a mile from the nearest bus stop.

Kentucky: Apparently voter information in Kentucky is also available for sale on the "dark web," as in Idaho. It costs $2,000. The Secretary of State, Alison Lundergan Grimes (D), has stated: "The revelation that this data is being peddled on the dark web and could potentially fall into the hands of bad actors greatly concerns me and should every Kentuckian."

Mississippi: The state ranks as the most difficult to vote in. It is also openly selling voter data. In addition, there is also a lawsuit pending about whether ex-felons can vote. Mississippi currently prevents them from voting for life.

Missouri: The Missouri Republican Party sent thousands of voters false absentee voting information. It said that ballots had to be returned by Oct. 30. The actual deadline is Nov. 6. Voters who weren't paying attention and read the letter after Oct. 30 could conclude it was too late to vote and not bother.

North Carolina: Despite a court ruling that North Carolina's congressional districts have been unconstitutionally gerrymandered, the state is not going to change them in 2018. Also, a new state law reduces the number of places voters can cast an early ballot.

South Carolina: The South Carolina State Election Commission says it needs $50 million to upgrade and protect its voting systems, but the state legislature is not interested in appropriating it. When voters go to vote, they will be asked for a government-issued photo ID. However, a court ruled that they can vote anyway if they can explain why they don't have one. It is very unlikely that poll workers will explain this to many voters.

Texas: In the past, Texas voters have complained of voting machines that flipped their votes. The Texas Republican Party is also pushing hard on the idea that fradulent voting could steal elections, something for which there is not a whit of evidence. Students at Prarie View A & M, a historically black college, have sued the state for not providing any early voting places in their city.

Washington: In the liberal Gig Harbor, WA, area, 70,000 voters received a slick mailer saying that Democrat Connie Fitzpatrick, who is running for the state legislature, is not progressive enough and voters should write in the name of a former state legislator, Nathan Schlicher, who is not running. The Republican candidate denies any knowledge of the mailing, which is clearly designed to take votes away from Fitzpatrick.

In addition, many states have voter-ID laws of various kinds with various conditions, such as the North Dakota law requiring the ID card to have a street address, something that Native Americans living on reservations don't have.

More Shenanigans in Georgia

Not only is voter suppression becoming an almost daily item around here, but specifically stories about voter suppression in Georgia are popping up almost every day. The latest, according to reporting from the New York Times, is that 4,700 requests for mail-in ballots have gone missing in DeKalb County. DeKalb is one of Georgia's largest and most liberal counties. It is also 54.3% black.

As noted above, Georgia secretary of state Brian Kemp has neatly arranged it so that he is overseeing an election in which he is a candidate for governor. That means, at best, that the buck stops with him in terms of the missing ballots, and it is his responsibility to rectify the situation. At worst, the ballots were "lost" on his say-so. Either way, it is not wise to expect him to work vigorously to make sure those 4,700 folks are taken care of. Meanwhile, four of the last five polls of the race have given Kemp a two-point lead (the fifth had it a tie). So, if these tactics are successful, they could very well swing the election (or, at very least, make sure it's in the bag).

Phil Hands
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:02 am 
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Mr_Green_Genes wrote:
Jair Bolsonaro: Far-right candidate wins Brazil poll

Far-right politician Jair Bolsonaro has won a sweeping victory in Brazil's presidential election.
Randall Enos
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:45 pm 
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Thanks.
Some analysts (Glenn Greenwald, for instance) point out that people who compare him to Trump did not really fathom that he is indeed yet more extreme than Trump.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 7:32 am 
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Today's stats: (if the election were held today)

Senate
Dem - 48 seats (+2 since Oct 18)
GOP - 51 seats (-3 since Oct 18)
Ties - 1 seat (+1 since Oct 18)

Strong Dem (42) (no change since Oct 18)
Likely Dem (3) (+1 since Oct 18)
Barely Dem (3) (+1 since Oct 18)
Exactly tied (1) (+1 since Oct 18)
Barely GOP (1) (-2 since Oct 18)
Likely GOP (4) (+2 since Oct 18)
Strong GOP (46) (-3 since Oct 18)

Dem pickups vs. 2012 - Nevada
GOP pickups vs. 2012 - Missouri, North Dakota

Image

The saturated colors mean the candidate is leading by at least 10% and is virtually certain of carrying the state.
The lighter colors indicate a lead of 5-9%, which is outside the margin of error, but in politics a week is a long time.
The states with a white center are statistical ties.
States that are entirely white are exact ties.
States that are gray have no seats up for election.

Clay Jones
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 6:05 pm 
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So I called up my dickwad bomber Congressman Joe Courtney and asked one simple, succinct question:

"Why aren't you signed onto HR676, Single Payer Medicare For All?"

I mean it's a good medical plan...cuts the insurance company's out of skimming HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS of our health care dollars every year to take for their own PROFITS.

It covers EVERYONE, NO exceptions, NO preconditions, nobody out.

Choice of doctors and treatments.

14, 000 doctors already organized and petitioning for it.

Prevents the 39, 000 Americans dying each year like now, due to poor or no coverage.

Nobody ever gets denied, nobody ever gets medical bill, no more medical bankruptcies or financial destitutions cuz you got sick...just give your SS number and you're done.

Cuts medical costs nearly in half...

...You know, just like every other industrialized nation in the world, (save for So. Africa).

Course HR676 is not on TV, so most Americans don't about it, they literally don't know the rest of the world has got it and they don't.



And Joe however, and his corrupt democrat party (like the corrupt republican party), GETS MONEY from the Insurance companies, so he CAN'T MENTION HR676, otherwise the con would be up and his moron voters would find out and want it, it would be curtains for the OBAMACARE Insurance company scam...

...besides, Joe's got health insurance, what the fuck does he care about the underinsured, or the 39, 000 Americans dying every year because they're too ignorant to insist on Single payer...if they were smarter, they wouldn't die, it's THEIR own fault after all, right?

Besides, Obama's 1.2 Trillion dollar thermonuclear weapons upgrade plan is expensive. Not that we need another trillion dollars for better ATOM BOMBS, but what the hey, he's a Democrat and Obama hatched the plan, so we gotta get lotsa better thermonuclear bombs...that's a GOOD democrat thing.


So I get this letter back, in answer to my succinct question, why aren't you signed on to HR676...

... :shock: and there's not one word about HR676 in it :shock: , it looks like a snow job from spacebrother...

All he says is he's fighting for us, and he's proud of INSURANCEcare, I mean OBAMAcare.

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(there's more on the other side, but it's pretty much like this side so I'll spare us the waste of forum space).


So, I do my part to help my neighbors find out they're getting fucked. Joe will still win as I live in a DemocratMoron state, (as opposed to a RepublicanMoron state), and we'll get another ice pick in the forehead, squeeeeee. They think it's some kinda fucken football game or something, they want THEIR party to stick the ice picks in their forehead, they want THEIR part to drop the bombs on the poor little infants sleeping in their Yemen clay huts.



But single payer IS gaining knowledge, and people ARE wising up and leaving the Democratmoron and Republicanmoron less evil bomber parties, so We the People gotta keep trying...




Lawn signs at the baddy residence...

Encouraging, I see cars slow down as they pass to read them...keep on thinking, it'll get better....

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It's nice too, I live down the street from the polls, they're only two ways in, one is past my signs(:

Make love, not war.

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 7:33 pm 
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baddy wrote:
Make love, not war.
Wow! Baddy lives in the heart of TRUMP country in Connecticut. Even still, Courtney will crush his Republican opponent, Dan Postemski, who as an Iraq War veteran, chose to make war, rather than love.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 7:42 pm 
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All we need to do right now is sit on our asses and reproduce more editorial cartoons. Relentlessly. Like a soulless, bloodsucking vampire.

The plan for the future is to make millions of people sick and then bankrupt them by selling them a cure.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 9:29 pm 
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baddy wrote:
I mean it's a good medical plan...cuts the insurance company's out of skimming HUNDREDS OF BILLIONS of our health care dollars every year to take for their own PROFITS.

It covers EVERYONE, NO exceptions, NO preconditions, nobody out.

Choice of doctors and treatments.




You're the one who voted against Bernie, threw your vote away and helped Trump win. You reap what you sew.


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 9:33 pm 
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don't forget to register to vote!
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 01, 2018 9:48 pm 
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Erection 2018

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The plan for the future is to make millions of people sick and then sell 'em a cure


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:51 am 
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If only we had examples of single payer systems already in place in America.

Oh wait, we do. The Veterans Administration. Good health care, sure, but cost overruns, inefficienty, and long wait times for care. Do you think that would get better if everybody in America was covered?

And Medicare. Spending is always WAY over costs.

It's a nice idea for everybody to have free health care, but it's not without its problems, either.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 5:16 am 
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downer mydnyte wrote:
All we need to do right now is sit on our asses and reproduce more editorial cartoons.
I bet you're sittin' on your ass right now, so get cockin', dude. 8)

Gary Varvel
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Rick McKee
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I prefer calling it the Congressional Election, as opposed to calling it the "Midterms". - jimmie d 8)

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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 7:56 pm 
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My Co-Chief and I, along with our crew, set up our local precinct tonight. There's 100% chance of heavy rain tomorrow (it's raining now), but the temperature will be around 70 degrees. A brief respite from the mid-50s we've had for awhile. It will also be windy. I understand that the weather may be shitty in about half the country.

Because of the substantial increase in voter turnout durning early voting across the country, I feel the predictors may have it wrong regarding the Senate. The Democrats may surprise. By most accounts, the house seems to be locked up for the Democratic Party.

HOWEVER, the inclement weather and possible shenanigans may leave Congress in Republican hands.

Well, I've got to be at the precinct by 6:00am, so it's off to bed.

DO MORE THAN VOTE. 8)


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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 7:36 pm 
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Mr. Nice Guy wrote:
DO MORE THAN VOTE. 8)
Joel Pett
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Bob Gorrell
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 Post subject: Re: We Found Bigfoot!
PostPosted: Thu Nov 08, 2018 5:54 am 
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Gray_Ghost wrote:
Mr. Nice Guy wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iU_8wSvSW4

1 minute, 22 seconds

Image

Inasmuch as the midterms are in full swing, the campaign commercials are coming fast and furious, with some of them getting a particularly large amount of attention. In the category of "really clever ads," for example, is a spot for Dean Phillips, who is running in MN-03 against Rep. Erik Paulsen (R). The basic notion is that Bigfoot is looking for the only guy harder to find than he is—Paulsen, who never seems to show up for work, is never available for constituent services, etc. He does find the Congressman, but you'll have to watch the ad to find out where.
excellent

MN-03: Dean Phillips (D) crushed Erik Paulsen (R) 8)

Drew Sheneman
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Tom Stiglich
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 Post subject: Re: Election 2018
PostPosted: Thu Nov 08, 2018 4:46 pm 
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Rick McKee
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Dale Cummings
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